What If Trump Runs Ahead of His Poll Numbers -- Again? By Michael Barone
As I try to understand public opinion in yet another presidential election year with former President Donald Trump as the Republican nominee, I see an anomaly.
Political Commentary
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September 6, 2024
September 4, 2024
The Election is On! What Are the Polls Saying? By Brian Joondeph
Both nominating conventions are past and election season is heating up. It’s not yet the home stretch but certainly the second half of the game.
September 4, 2024
A Dam Good Argument By John Stossel
Instead of using fossil fuels, we're told to use "clean" energy: wind, solar or hydropower.
September 3, 2024
Hey, Washington: Keep Your Hands Off the Internet By Stephen Moore
Everyone these days -- on both sides of the political spectrum -- seems to want the feds to regulate internet access, prices and online content. They want the Federal Communications Commission to be the referee in terms of who gets connected to the internet and what can and can't be said.
September 3, 2024
On Abortion, Trump Is Moderate -- While Harris Is Maximalist By Daniel McCarthy
There are two uncompromising sides in the abortion debate -- and then there's the middle, which is where most Americans are.
August 30, 2024
Lots of Tumult and Little Bounce This Election Year By Michael Barone
What if they held a tumultuous election, with an early one-sided debate, a candidate substitution and third-party withdrawal, and no voters changed their minds? Well, that's not exactly what has happened in America's 60th presidential election year, but it's not so far off, either.
August 29, 2024
Fact Check: RFK Jr. By John Stossel
Presidential candidate RFK Jr. suspended his campaign last week and endorsed Donald Trump.
August 27, 2024
Goodbye, JFK Democrats By Stephen Moore
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s exit from the Democratic Party (or was he booted out?) is only the latest sign that there are no more JFK Democrats left in positions of power in the Democratic Party.
August 27, 2024
Donald Trump Is Reagan's Heir By Daniel McCarthy
As Donald Trump fights what now looks like an uphill battle against Kamala Harris, many Republicans find themselves thinking back to their high-school sweetheart.
August 23, 2024
The White College Graduates' Party's Candidate Doesn't Know Economic History By Michael Barone
Learning isn't necessarily cumulative. Human experience over the centuries provides lessons, some clearer than others. But each generation has to learn lessons anew, and some do not.
August 22, 2024
Time for Change Model Predicts Close Election with Slight Edge for Kamala Harris By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
—The Time for Change model suggests that presidential elections are largely determined by three factors: the popularity of the incumbent president, the state of the economy, and the number of terms that the president’s party has controlled the White House.
—Specifically, the “Time for Change” factor of this analysis is based on the post-World War II reality that a party often can win the White House two straight times, but has a harder time holding it for longer than that.
—This year’s version of the model shows Kamala Harris as a narrow favorite in both the popular vote and Electoral College, but her predicted margins are so small that the safest prediction we can make about the 2024 presidential election is that it is likely to be very close.
August 20, 2024
Will Voters Settle for Joe Biden's Understudy? By Daniel McCarthy
This week's celebration of Kamala Harris in Chicago faces an embarrassing fact: Until now, Democrats themselves thought she was less cut out to be president than Joe Biden.
August 16, 2024
Who's for the First Amendment -- and Who's Against By Michael Barone
"There's a lot of opposition to just hearing what President Trump has to say," Elon Musk said at the beginning of his two-hour interview on X with the 45th and would-be 47th president.
August 14, 2024
Native Truths By John Stossel
American kids are now taught that before Christopher Columbus wrecked things, peaceful Native Americans protected the environment.
August 13, 2024
Donald Trump Has to Run Like It's 2016 Again By Daniel McCarthy
If Donald Trump wants to return to the White House, he has to get serious about winning the "ground war."
August 13, 2024
Natural Gas Is Now Cheaper Than Water By Stephen Moore
Among the great mythologies of recent years, one stands out above the rest, is that the world is in a "great energy transition." Actually, the world IS in a dramatic energy transition. But it isn't the one the Left wants it to be.
August 9, 2024
The Symmetrical Vice Presidential Picks: Polarized Politics Continues By Michael Barone
There is an uncanny symmetry in the two presidential candidates' choice of vice presidential running mates. There are a few superficial differences -- Republican J.D. Vance is 40, Democrat Tim Walz 60. Vance is bearded, Walz balding.
August 8, 2024
In Passing on a Swing State VP, Harris Makes a Pick That Fits Recent History By Joel K. Goldstein
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Although circumstances constricted Vice President Harris’s Veepstakes, she appears to have conducted a careful and thoughtful process that produced a good choice.
— Harris’s process was unique in its focus on Democratic governors and the selection of Gov. Tim Walz will be the first sitting governor as the Democratic vice presidential candidate in 100 years.
— Although Harris vetted candidates from competitive states, like other recent presidential candidates she chose a running mate who was not from a true swing state, demonstrating again that vice presidential candidates are chosen for reasons other than their ability to carry a competitive state.
— Harris’s focus on candidates who had demonstrated political and governmental success in competitive and even red states suggests an emphasis on candidates who can appeal to centrist voters including those beyond the Democratic base.
— The rollout tour will be important in defining Walz in the public’s eye, elevating Harris from the role of vice president to presidential candidate, and demonstrating the themes of and dynamic between the Democratic ticket.
August 7, 2024
Just Who Is the Real Middle-Class President? By Stephen Moore
President Joe Biden talked incessantly about his "from the middle class out" economic strategy. Given his record, it would have been more accurate to call it the "middle class down and out" plan. Inflation has eroded away any income gains under Biden's presidency.
August 7, 2024
Slavery in America By John Stossel
Today people are taught, when it comes to slavery, America was the worst.
