Is Trump Running Against Harris -- or Donald Trump? By Daniel McCarthy
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris may be rivals for the White House, but they're not exactly competing in the same race.
Political Commentary
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August 6, 2024
August 2, 2024
The 'White Dudes for Harris' Zoom Call Was ... Weird By Michael Barone
Monday night's "White Dudes for Harris" Zoom call, with some 90,000 registered to participate, was surely a landmark in political history. Nearly 200 years ago, when the Democratic Party was being formed to elect and reelect Andrew Jackson, the entire American electorate, with exceptions, such as Black New Englanders, property-owning Black New Yorkers, and New Jersey widows, was made up of "white dudes."
August 1, 2024
Harris’s VP Choice: Her Options, and the Possible Home State Effects By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Because of the unprecedented nature of the 2024 campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris, who stepped up to lead the Democratic ticket less than two weeks ago, has had an unusually abbreviated window in which to vet her own vice presidential prospects.
— The leading contenders to join Harris on the ticket are Gov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA) and Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), although we are watching several other names.
— If Harris picks a running mate from a true swing state (like Arizona or Pennsylvania), it would be unusual, at least considering recent history, as most recent picks have not come from states at the center of the electoral map.
— Research is mixed on the home state bonus afforded by running mates; if any effect does exist, it is likely small—although just a small effect could be decisive in a key state.
July 31, 2024
RFK Jr. By John Stossel
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. won applause at the Libertarian presidential convention by criticizing government lockdowns and deficit spending, and saying America shouldn't police the world.
July 30, 2024
Biden's Rent Control Schemes Will Backfire on Renters -- They Always Do By Stephen Moore
It's clear why President Joe Biden desperately wants to bring down housing prices and rent. With mortgage interest rates double what they were when former President Donald Trump took office, mortgage payments have roughly doubled since 2020, and rents are up in many cities by more than 30%.
July 30, 2024
Kamala Harris' 'Mean Girls' Election By Daniel McCarthy
Is Kamala Harris running for president or prom queen?
July 26, 2024
Facing the Consequences of Presidents Choosing Their Successors By Michael Barone
The astonishing political events of the last four weeks make plain, once again, how much of America's history depends on what voters have come to accept as the choice of one person: each presidential nominee's choice of a vice presidential candidate. Even as the nomination process was expanded, half a century ago, to include millions of primary voters, the choice of the vice presidential nominee has devolved from smoke-filled rooms of bosses who represented large constituencies to the choice of a single person.
July 24, 2024
Harris Polling Better than Trump? Fat Chance By Brian Joondeph
What a few weeks it’s been! Starting with President Joe Biden’s trainwreck debate performance a few weeks ago, stumbling and stuttering, with his zinger “We finally beat Medicare,” to an attempted and bungled assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump.
July 23, 2024
Where Does Joe Biden Rank Among America's Worst Presidents? By Stephen Moore
President Joe Biden's time in the White House is mercifully coming to an end. He's now officially a lame duck with six months to go.
July 19, 2024
Echoes of History in This Year's Campaign By Michael Barone
For those of a certain age, or with more than a woke education, the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump brings back echoes of history.
July 17, 2024
Trump's Promises By John Stossel
This week, Donald Trump will officially become the Republican nominee.
July 16, 2024
Are Republicans Ready for Biden's Counterattack? By Daniel McCarthy
Donald Trump has a lot of things to celebrate this week, but a foregone conclusion in November isn't one of them.
Joe Biden is down in the polls and losing the unwinnable war against time's toll.
But he's nothing if not tenacious, and the president has a trick ready to turn Trump's latest triumph -- over an assassin's bullet -- into a political defeat.
July 12, 2024
Our Monarchical Presidency By Michael Barone
Fourteen days after his disastrous debate, President Joe Biden is still in the race for reelection. Multiple elected Democrats, New York Times editorial writers and columnists, and Democratic Party megadonors -- "elites," sneers the perceptive David Dayen -- have called on him to step aside. A secret ballot of congressional Democrats, the procedure under which they choose their own party leaders, would surely go against Biden, probably by a wide margin.
July 11, 2024
How Current Presidential Polling May Impact House Races By J. Miles Coleman
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— On Monday, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) became the first House Democrat from a marginal district to call for President Joe Biden to drop his reelection effort.
— With Biden intent on continuing his campaign, we thought it would be worth examining how his current polling could impact the House playing field.
— If the national popular vote were tied, we would expect Donald Trump to carry 10 additional House seats, compared to his 2020 result.
— If Trump won the popular vote by closer to three points, about where national polling suggests he is now, he could be positioned to flip about two-dozen previously Biden-won districts.
— It is possible that, even though the practice has been on the decline for some time, ticket-splitting may make something of a comeback in 2024.
July 9, 2024
Joe Biden Faces Richard Nixon's Choice By Daniel McCarthy
Joe Biden has come to the same dead end Richard Nixon arrived at half a century ago.
July 9, 2024
The Case for Draining the Swamp Is Stronger Than Ever By Stephen Moore
The latest official employment report finds once again that the federal government and state-local hiring spree is still in full gear. Over the past year, health care and government hiring has outpaced every private sector industry. It isn't just the IRS bringing on thousands of new workers. The bloat is everywhere.
July 3, 2024
Government and Freedom By John Stossel
Last week, presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asked me to moderate what he called "The Real Debate."
Kennedy was angry with CNN because it wouldn't let him join its Trump-Biden debate.
His people persuaded Elon Musk to carry his Real Debate on Twitter. They asked me to give RFK Jr. the same questions, with the same time limits.
July 2, 2024
Should President Biden Drop Out -- or Resign? By Daniel McCarthy
If Joe Biden is unfit to run for president, how can he be fit to continue serving as president?
